Research

Asset Flows Update

Introduction

After notable outperformance to most asset classes in recent months, the Eurekahedge Hedge Fund Index rose a healthy 1.5%1 in March. The month’s return was generated on the back of sharp reversals in the underlying market, triggered by renewed risk appetites; equities and commodities rose 7.2% and 4.4% during the month.

In terms of assets, however, the industry saw a flat performance-based change in assets (down US$230 million), as larger2 funds underperformed their relatively smaller counterparts. This, coupled with net redemptions of US$15.7 billion, which were a mere 20% of the monthly average for 4Q2008, brought the industry’s assets to US$1.34 trillion as at the end of 1Q2009.

Figure 1: Summary Monthly Asset Flow Data for 2008-to-date

Below are the highlights on asset flows for the month of March:

  1. Total industry assets are down 9.2% (or US$136 billion) for 1Q2009 and 32% (US$615 billion) from their peak of US$1.95 trillion as at end-June 2008.
     
  2. Inflows of US$12 billion, as compared to US$4 billion seen at the same time last month, were overshadowed by redemptions of US$28 billion during the month.
     
  3. Subscriptions from hedge fund savvy investors stood at US$35 billion in 1Q2009 based on data reported to Eurekahedge so far.

We believe that a significant portion of the redemptions seen in March were from either funds that lifted their redemption gates or those having notification periods of over a month (meaning that redemption requests were filed by investors before February). Having said that, and otherwise too, withdrawals in March point towards a notable decline in redemption pressures, marking a sharp 75% fall from the monthly average net redemption (US$ 66 billion) seen over the preceding 6 months.

Going forward, we expect redemptions to ...

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Footnote

1 Based on 71.6% of the funds reporting their March 2009 return as at 20 April 2009.

2 The Eurekahedge Large (>US$500 million) Hedge Fund Index rose 0.06%, while the Eurekahedge Small (

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